Tag Archives: strategic planning

Willie Sutton Strategy

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Why did Willie Sutton rob banks? Legend says Willie robbed banks because that’s where the money was.

We’ve talked about strategy over the past couple of weeks because many of you are engaged in strategic planning. Successful companies bring their (right) product or service to the right market at the right time in the right way.

Strategic planning is not to create tactical goals for the following year, but to examine those external systems that will have an impact on your long-term success. Willie Sutton may lack moral turpitude, but he knew where the money was.

The Trend is Your Friend

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“But these regulations are designed to stifle business,” Rory complained. “The government rules that we play under are political initiatives designed to drive us under.”

“Then, what are you waiting for?” I asked.

“What do you mean?” Rory replied.

“Are you waiting for the next political election, hoping for a new regime that will return your operating climate back to the way it was?”

“That would be nice,” Rory’s face lit up.

“Nice is like hope,” I said. “Ain’t gonna happen. Even if you do win a political victory, the likelihood of a return to the good old days will not happen. Instead of fighting or waiting, figure out how to take advantage. The trend is your friend.”

External Systems that Impact Internal Systems

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From the Ask Tom mailbag –

Question:
When I look at our strategic plan, it is mostly a mathematical increase in revenues over last year and some projects to cure some of our operational problems. If that is all it is, why is there such a focus on strategic planning?

Response:
Unfortunately, for most companies, your observation is correct. Most strategic plans are not strategic, they are tactical. Tactical planning is important, but it is rarely strategic.

Your question is why plan. If we were successful in identifying our competitive advantage and effective efforts to operationalize that advantage, why pow wow to come up with a new plan?

We have to periodically pow wow because of this one factor, change. Change requires us to reexamine our assumptions, understand our marketplace, revise our thinking, adapt our internal systems and track our progress in the face of that change.

Most planning is an attempt to resolve operational issues with our internal systems, that is still a noble goal. Strategic planning is an examination of those external systems that have an impact on the way we organize and operationalize our internal systems. Here are five important external systems you might consider –

  • Market (external system). This external system includes your best customer, different customer segments, your best competitor, second tier competitors, vendors and suppliers.
  • Regulatory (external system). This could be financial regulation, like taxes, environmental regulation, tariff regulation, permit regulation.
  • Finance (external system). As companies grow beyond the resources of stockholder investment, reliance on external sources of capital becomes more important. This includes simple revolving lines of credit, institutional term debt, private equity. All come with strings that have an impact on the way you internal organize. Banks call these covenants. Access to capital markets is seeing an extraordinary shift with increased interest rates depending on market risk.
  • Labor (external system). We used to look at unionization and unemployment statistics to get a handle on our access to labor. Now we have to include governmental intervention, student loan forgiveness, cultural impact on employment conditions (unlimited vacation, virtual roles) and accountability in those conditions. It’s all part of your business model.
  • Technology (external system). Technology has changed the way that we work. Meaning, technology has changed the way we make decisions and solve problems. Every business model is shifting to incorporate technology and make it effective with a constant eye to the next technology which will bring the next change to the way we organize.

It is these external systems that will have the most impact on your change in strategy. This is where I always start. What’s changed?

List or Analysis?

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“Of course, we are doing strategic planning this year,” Allison smiled. “Each year, we go off-site, the central exercise is our SWOT analysis.”

“But, you said you were disappointed over the past few years with your planning efforts?” I asked.

Allison nodded her head. “You are right. Sometimes it seems our planning is a rote exercise to build some SWOT lists and call it a day. The effectiveness of the exercise, though completed and compiled in our single page business plan, isn’t very helpful when the firefighting of the day kicks in. Sure, we pull the plan out every quarter and walk through its initiatives, but at the end of the year, we are still firefighting in spite of the plan’s guidance. Becoming the premier provider of goods and services to our targets markets seems like more bluster than planning. I mean, we wanted increases in revenue, gross and net profit, but it appears to be more intention that a methodology.”

“But, SWOT is a tried and true exercise,” I observed. “Why do you describe it as lackluster?”

Allison was quiet. “SWOT is supposed to be an analysis. Seems like more of a list than analysis. We are comfortable making the list, not so much on the analysis. And what we are really comfortable with, is the firefighting of the day.”

The Two Strategic Questions

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When I was in journalism, I was taught to answer the 4 “W”s. Who, what, where and when?

This is planning season and companies across the globe are asking those questions. The multi-day retreat is called strategic planning, but in most cases, it is tactical planning. Here are the questions again, only two are strategic.

  • Who?
  • What?
  • Where?
  • When?
  • How? (I know it doesn’t start with “W”)
  • Which?
  • Why?

The responses to the list are mostly tactical.

Given two or more choices (and there are always at least two choices), which choice fits our strategy? Given two or more choices, why would we choose one over another? Those are the strategic questions.

First Look Outside

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From the Ask Tom mailbag-

Question:
Our company is preparing for our annual strategic planning session. Sometimes, it just seems like an exercise to increase our net sales by ten percent and our net profit by two percent. If that is all we are doing, why do we spend two days off-site?

Response:
Some companies think that to increase our net sales by ten percent, we just need to increase our sales team and their efforts by ten percent. Some companies think that to increase our net profit by two percent, we just need to become more efficient and cut waste by two percent. These may be worthy objectives, but we hardly need two days off-site to think like that.

Strategic planning requires that we look at those external circumstances that are constraining the defined objectives in front of us. Adding ten percent more sales people to the team will not increase sales if our market is no longer interested in our product or service. What has changed about our market? What has changed about our competitors? What has changed about our vendors?

Cutting waste by two percent does not inform us about the changes in technology that create efficiencies on the order of 10 percent or 20 percent. What has changed about technology surrounding our business model? What has changed about our external labor system that may require us to look harder at technology as a solution?

What headwinds are created by new regulations, financial regulations, safety regulations, environmental regulations? What is the financial climate for infusions of external cash, lines of credit, institutional debt, private equity?

Most of these questions are not about internal factors, but external systems that have an impact on the way we internally organize.

How to Plan More Than One Year Out?

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From the Ask Tom mailbag –

Question:
We just completed our strategic planning session, the output, a set of goals. And, as you predicted, all of our goals have a time frame of less than six months. How do we get our thinking out more than one year? How do we get our thinking out more than three or four years?

Response:
It’s a problem. Most companies are so results oriented, focused on tangible, concrete results, that thinking out four to five years is difficult.

It is actually a different language, one we are not accustomed to. One CEO friend of mine constantly poo-poos the idea of planning beyond six months. Here is the dynamic and why strategic thinking is so difficult.

In the near term, things, people, technology are all known elements, we can call them by name. They are concrete and tangible. The further we travel into the future, in our imaginations, the less distinct, the more ambiguous things become. If we travel far enough into the future, precise definition gives way to conceptual elements.

We no longer know who the customers will be in five years, but we will likely have customers. We do not know the exact features of our products in five years, but we will likely have a product offering. The market may not have the same requirements five years from now, but there will, indeed, be market needs.

The discussion turns from a tangible, concrete discussion to a conceptual discussion. And we do not practice conceptual talking (thinking) very often. Talking conceptually is awkward. It might even appear pointless. That is because we do not practice.

Thinking out twenty years is a useful step. Thinking out twenty years gives us permission to abandon our current thinking. So, take the year 2035. To ground this thinking, how old will you be? Now, simply imagine. What will transportation be like? What will communication be like? What will travel be like? What will food be like? What will agriculture be like? What will medicine be like? What will your industry be like? What will your products be like? What will your service be like? Who will be your company leaders in twenty years? Are they in your company or outside of your company? How old are they now?

Thinking out twenty years gives you permission to think differently. Thinking out twenty years gives you permission to think out five years in a new way.