Category Archives: Planning Skills

Every December, A Flipchart of Goals

“Here we go, again,” Walter shook his head. “The obligatory offsite strategic planning meeting.”

“I can tell you are not excited about the planning process,” I responded.

“It’s just that we spend two days jabbering, write some goals on a flip chart and then forget about it. It’s not that I don’t like the process, it’s just, at the end of the day, I don’t see the value.”

“You don’t see the value in jabbering, writing goals or following up? Which is it?” I asked.

“I mean, we create a revenue goal. It’s a nice number. But whether we reach that goal, has little to do with the fact that we write the number on a flipchart every December.”

A Plan With Wrinkles

“So, what happened when you shared your plan with the team?” I asked.

Lisa winced. “Share my plan? Well, yes, I was planning to roll it out next week. Should be a big kickoff.”

“So, everyone is on board with the plan?”

“Well, they don’t know about it, yet. I mean, they know about the project, but I plan to share the details during the kickoff,” Lisa assured.

“Lisa, did you discover anything new while you were creating this plan?”

She nodded, “This plan has some wrinkles in it. It will require some specific changes to our process.”

“Why didn’t you know that before the plan?” I pressed.

“I guess I always knew it, but I didn’t see it until I wrote it all out,” Lisa agreed.

“Do you think your team might discover some things when they see the plan all laid out?”

“I suppose.”

“Is there a possibility that those discoveries might wreck your big Kickoff?”

Lisa face revealed a slight stare of anxiety. “You’re right, but I have already scheduled the Kickoff Meeting.”

“So, change the name of the meeting from the Kickoff Meeting to the Plan Review Meeting.”

What is Necessary

“It’s tough,” Andrea admitted. “During the recession, we significantly reduced our workforce. We had to. Our revenues were down 40 percent, now they are up 10 percent. We are hesitant to raise headcount in the face of optimism. How do we make our decisions about how many people we need in which roles?”

“Here’s a rule of thumb,” I replied. “Don’t organize around your previous metrics of headcount. Go back to ground zero and organize around the work. What is your core work? How is it performed? What does it take to create the output for the demand you forecast? Around your core work, what supervision is necessary? And for the future, who is necessary for planning, for contingencies and alternatives?”

Andrea was nodding. “Strip away all the noise and go back to the core?”

“And only create what is necessary.”

Thinking Differently About the Future

Ellen didn’t say a word.

“Have you ever wondered why Vision Statements all sound alike?” I asked.

Ellen was still quiet.

“A Vision Statement is designed to describe a picture of the future, and in most companies, a future that is three, four or five years out. The conversation changes. And we aren’t very good at it.”

Ellen moved her head to think.

“We are very good at describing reality in concrete terms. It’s when we begin to think out, into the future, that we begin to stumble. Most Vision Statements sound alike because we have never sat down to think, conceptually, about the future. The conversation changes from a concrete world to a conceptual world and our words begin to fail us.

“Some give up, saying all this planning is useless. It’s never right, things change, so what’s the point?

“Without change, we can get by, short cutting this exercise without much damage. But, in this time, with so much uncertainty, this conceptual planning becomes critical.”

A Completely Different Conversation

“Interesting, our conversation switched from tangible decisions to an analogy about cookies,” I observed.

“Not just cookies, warm cookies,” Ellen corrected me. “It’s easy to plan for a project that will be completed in two weeks. We know who the suppliers are, what materials we need to purchase, what contractors have to be involved. But, when things move further into the future, it gets murky. I can pretty much tell you what our revenues will be in 2011, but the real question, is what decisions have to be made this year to position us for 2013-2014?”

“You’re right,” I agreed. “Something changes about the discussion when we look that far out. In the near term, we can identify, with some accuracy, what is most likely to happen. It is a very concrete discussion. But, the further we go into the future, those tangible items get fuzzy. More than fuzzy. Those concrete elements turn into conceptual elements. And it is a completely different conversation.”

Long-Term Viability

“Therein, lies the dilemma,” I nodded.

“Absolutely,” Ellen replied. “And it’s not just the uncertainty about what might happen with this customer or that project. There are larger things going on. There is uncertainty about taxes and markets. My customers don’t want to make commitments to me and I can’t make commitments to my suppliers.”

“So, what are you going to do? How are you going to plan?” I asked.

Ellen was silent, then finally, thoughtfully, spoke, “It’s not so much about making this decision or that decision. It’s about position. How can we put ourselves in a position that keeps our options open? More than contingency planning. Really keeping long-term moves as viable alternatives.”

“Having your cake and eating it, too?”

Ellen laughed. “It’s not a finished cake. It’s having all the ingredients to make a cake, or a pie, or a dozen warm cookies.”

Computers Cannot Help With This

“Why is this so difficult?” I asked. We were diligently poring over our business plan for 2011.

“Part of it, it’s difficult to look at the larger picture when you have your nose down in the dirt,” Ellen replied. “Our work volume is increasing, but we are not committed to increasing our overhead. We don’t trust the market. This is very complex.”

“But, your company is used to dealing with complexity,” I nodded encouragement.

“This is different. Detailed complexity, we can handle. I mean, we have a staff of computer geniuses, who can write code to handle a hundred thousand details. But, this is different. You can’t write a computer program to deal with this complexity.”

“Why not?” I pressed.

“This complexity is not detailed complexity. And that’s why this planning exercise is so difficult,” Ellen shook her head. “This complexity comes from uncertainty. You cannot write a computer program to deal with things you do not know.”

Nuclear Winter

I spent last week working with my executive groups on an exercise with two purposes. The first purpose was to examine this most recent recession and look for lessons learned. The second purpose was to light a fire moving forward.

In 2005, we first learned of the impending recession, its timing, depth and breadth. My resource for this warning was Brian and Alan Beaulieu at EcoTrends. In January 2007, EcoTrends confirmed their forecast, before we retreated to the basement nailing down the hatches.

In that meeting, Alan Beaulieu, to create some hope (or an economist’s attempt at humor), spoke about the recovery. “There will come a time,” he started, “when we will give you the ALL CLEAR. It will not feel like the ALL CLEAR. It will still feel like nuclear winter. But we will tell you.”

And that signal has appeared. NOW is the time. NOW is the time to be aggressive. NOW is the time to take market share.

“There will be no double-dip,” they confirmed two weeks ago.

Your competition is still on its heels, whining and complaining about the economy. Now is the time to open the hatches, mobilize, expand your tolerance for risk.

Your competition still sees the world in nuclear winter. Now is the time to strike.

Think about your target in 2013. What steps do you need to take?

When Do You Want to Talk About It?

Marion put the final touches on her plan for 2011. Impressive, detailed, some 10 pages in length.

“Brilliant!” I exclaimed, with all the enthusiasm of a Guinness commercial. “Very articulate. How long did it take for your team to put this together?”

Marion sat up with pride, “Why, thank you, but I have to take most of the credit. I worked over the weekend. I mean, I am sure that some of the ideas came from my team. I mean, if I had asked them, I am sure they would agree with most of the plan.”

“So, has your team seen this plan, yet?” I asked.

“No, we’re under a pretty tight deadline. I didn’t want to bother them.”

“So, exactly when do you intend to take the time with your team to talk about it?”

“Well, you know my team, once they start talking about it, they will spend all day.”

“So, exactly when do you intend to take that day for your team to talk about it?”

“Well, we really don’t have the time, just talking about it, you know?”

I nodded in agreement. “I know you don’t have the time to spend, but you will spend it nonetheless. My question is when do you want to spend it?”

“What do you mean?” Marion asked.

“I mean, do you want to spend time talking about the plan when you are planning or when you are in the middle of a crunch-tight deadline for your customer?

“Here’s the story, Marion. Your team will participate in the thinking that goes into this plan. They decide that. All you get to decide is when. You can decide for them to participate on the front end, or the team will decide to talk about it on the back end.

Find This Purpose to Drive Your Plan

“Why do you think you never looked at your plan this past year?” I asked. Rachel was quite interested in making her 2011 plan different.

“I’m not sure,” she replied. “It was almost like it didn’t matter. We could re-read it and talk about, but it still didn’t seem to matter all that much.”

“That’s why purpose is so important. That’s why purpose is the first step. Purpose drives the rest of the plan. Without a well defined purpose, your plan will be uninteresting and just sit on the shelf.”

“So, we really need to have a purpose,” Rachel was nodding, enthusiasm creeping across her face.

“No,” I said. Rachel’s face turned quizzical. “You don’t need to have a purpose. You need to find a purpose that has you. You need to find a purpose that has a hold on you so tight that you can’t stop thinking about it. You need to find a purpose that captures you. When you find that purpose, you won’t have any problem pulling your plan off the shelf and working it.

“Find a purpose that has you.”